Fed

No change+1.0pt83.2%

25 bps increase-1.0pt16.8%

25 bps decrease+0.1pt0%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Fed maintains rate-2.0pt81%

Hike 25bps-1.0pt16%

Cut 25bps1%

+2 extra uitkomsten

0 (0 bps)-0.2pt97%

1 (25 bps)+0.1pt2%

2 (50 bps)-0.2pt1%

+10 extra uitkomsten

Exactly 0 cuts+0.1pt94.1%

Exactly 1 cut+0.4pt3.9%

Exactly 6 cuts+0.4pt1%

+18 extra uitkomsten

25 bps increase+1.0pt73.8%

No change-1.0pt22.3%

50+ bps increase-0.1pt2.9%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Hike 25bps+1.0pt69.2%

Fed maintains rate-2.0pt24.3%

Hike >25bps2.8%

+2 extra uitkomsten

2 (50 bps)+2.0pt68.3%

1 (25 bps)-2.0pt21.8%

3 (75 bps)-0.9pt7.9%

+3 extra uitkomsten

5.4%-2.5pt74%

5.5%+1.1pt49%

5.7%-1.6pt24%

+10 extra uitkomsten

Above 3.75%99%

Above 3.50%+1.0pt99%

Above 2.75%99%

+8 extra uitkomsten

Above 2.75%99%

Above 3.00%99%

Above 3.25%99%

+8 extra uitkomsten

Fed maintains rate+1.0pt80.8%

Hike 25bps-2.0pt15.3%

Hike >25bps1.5%

+2 extra uitkomsten

5.70%-6.0pt86%

5.80%-13.4pt60%

5.90%-4.0pt45%

+7 extra uitkomsten

Exactly 2+2.0pt69.5%

Exactly 1-4.0pt21.1%

Exactly 3-1.0pt7.4%

+2 extra uitkomsten

No change65%

25 bps increase-1.0pt32%

25 bps decrease-0.3pt1%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Above -25,00091%

Above 0+2.0pt86%

Above 10,00076%

+10 extra uitkomsten

5.10%-2.5pt86%

5.25%+6.0pt51%

+7 extra uitkomsten

Tariff+26.0pt99%

Labor / Job+18.0pt99%

AI / Artificial Intelligence+10.0pt99%

+14 extra uitkomsten

H 25+1.0pt63.7%

H 0+1.0pt27.4%

H 26+1.0pt5.3%

+2 extra uitkomsten

4.25%63.3%

4.0%23.5%

≥ 4.5%+0.6pt10.2%

+12 extra uitkomsten

July80%

April39%

June36%

+10 extra uitkomsten

Below 4.50%-10.0pt9%

Below 4.40%7%

Below 4.35%+0.5pt6%

+6 extra uitkomsten

John Brennan+1.0pt31%

Anthony Fauci+2.0pt21%

James Clapper19%

+39 extra uitkomsten

5.00%-16.5pt53%

4.90%51%

5.10%37%

+5 extra uitkomsten

Hike–Pause–Hike+1.0pt60.4%

Hike–Pause–Pause+0.5pt23.8%

Hike–Hike–Hike-0.5pt10.9%

+6 extra uitkomsten

5.73%80%

5.70%+6.5pt77%

5.76%67%

+6 extra uitkomsten

No Change-1.1pt79%

25 bps increase+1.3pt21%

25 bps decrease0%

+2 extra uitkomsten

7 or more cuts+3.0pt73.1%

Exactly 6 cuts13.5%

Exactly 5 cuts-1.0pt10.6%

+3 extra uitkomsten

No change-1.6pt95%

25 bps increase+1.4pt4%

50+ bps increase-0.1pt1%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Anthropic+1.3pt55.6%

SpaceX-2.5pt43.4%

OpenAI1%

+9 extra uitkomsten

Fed maintains rate79%

Hike 25bps15.7%

Hike >25bps2.9%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Below 5.20%-6.5pt20%

Below 5.15%-1.0pt17%

Below 5.10%16%

+6 extra uitkomsten

0+11.5pt48.6%

1-2.3pt28.6%

2-1.7pt10.5%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Above 1.00%98%

Above 2.25%98%

Above 1.50%96%

+18 extra uitkomsten

No change-2.5pt92.1%

25 bps decrease+4.3pt5.9%

25 bps increase-1.6pt2%

+2 extra uitkomsten

5.35%86%

5.32%84%

5.38%59%

+6 extra uitkomsten

↑ 4.25%77%

↑ 4.5%-6.3pt9%

↑ 4.75%-1.8pt5%

+18 extra uitkomsten

Below 5.55%45%

Below 5.52%43%

Below 5.43%30%

+6 extra uitkomsten

0+4.0pt28%

3+1.5pt23%

2-1.5pt20%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Pause-Hike-Pause+4.5pt52.4%

Pause-Hike-Hike-1.0pt11.4%

Pause-Pause-Pause+2.0pt11.4%

+6 extra uitkomsten

Below 4.70%74%

Below 4.50%-6.0pt46%

Below 4.60%46%

+6 extra uitkomsten

0 cuts+1.3pt99%

1 cuts1%

2 cuts0%

+2 extra uitkomsten