Inflation

No change

+5.4%79%

25 bps increase

-5.9%20%

50+ bps increase

-0.1%1%

+2 extra uitkomsten

October Meeting

69%

September Meeting

61%

July Meeting

-6.0%20%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Above 3.0%

92%

Above 3.1%

-6.0%90%

Above 3.2%

-8.0%80%

+18 extra uitkomsten

Above -0.4%

+1.0%98%

Above -0.3%

97%

Above -0.2%

88%

+7 extra uitkomsten

3.3%

-0.5%37%

3.4%

37%

3.5%

20%

+9 extra uitkomsten

At least 4.0%

100%

At least 4.5%

-21.0%35%

At least 5.0%

21%

+4 extra uitkomsten

Above 320ㅤ

99%

Above 300ㅤ

96%

Above 310ㅤ

96%

+24 extra uitkomsten

Above 0.0%

97%

Above 0.1%

-2.0%71%

Above 0.2%

-2.0%3%

+2 extra uitkomsten

≥0.1%

+3.0%68%

0.0%

26%

-0.1%

-0.4%7%

+6 extra uitkomsten

2 (50

-0.5%33%

0 (0

+0.5%30%

1 (25

30%

+3 extra uitkomsten

Exactly 3.3%

34%

Exactly 3.4%

31%

Exactly 3.5%

25%

+23 extra uitkomsten

Republican president, >= 2%, <3%

+28.5%52.3%

Republican president, <2%

-4.5%23.2%

Republican president, >= 3%, <4%

-10.3%14.9%

+5 extra uitkomsten

Above 4.1%

99%

Above 3.8%

93%

Above 3.9%

93%

+10 extra uitkomsten

Soft Landing

+3.5%62%

Overheating

24%

Stagflation

+0.5%14%

+1 extra uitkomsten

Soft landing

+2.3%62%

Overheating

-5.5%20%

Stagflation

12%

+1 extra uitkomsten

Above 2.1%

+1.0%98%

Above 2.2%

86%

Above 2.3%

80%

+12 extra uitkomsten

↑ $4.00

+41.5%100%

↑ $3.90

+15.4%100%

↑ $4.25

-27.5%8%

+8 extra uitkomsten

4.00% to 4.49%

+7.0%42%

4.50% to 4.99%

+7.5%21%

3.50% to 3.99%

-3.1%19%

+5 extra uitkomsten

4.1-4.4%

+0.5%31%

3.8-4.1%

-0.5%18%

3.2-3.5%

-1.9%9%

+7 extra uitkomsten

2.4%

+4.5%41%

2.5%

+0.5%25%

≤2.2%

-0.7%13%

+7 extra uitkomsten

3.5–3.9%

+2.1%34%

2.5–2.9%

+0.9%22%

4.0-4.4%

+0.5%10%

+6 extra uitkomsten

0.0

98%

0.1

67%

0.4

8%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Exactly -0.2%

88%

Exactly 0.1%

29%

Exactly 0.0%

-1.0%28%

+7 extra uitkomsten

$300M – $349.9M (Likely outcome as of 3/21, if it matches The Martian)

+1.2%99%

$350M – $399.9M (High-end breakout)

-1.0%0.3%

Less than $200M (Implies a collapse in week 2)

-0.1%0.2%

+3 extra uitkomsten

FreshAI

80%

Delivery

79%

Frosty

+9.0%76%

+13 extra uitkomsten

$2.00–$2.25

81%

$2.25–$2.50

-0.5%12%

$1.75–$2.00

9%

+7 extra uitkomsten

0.6 – 1.0%

43%

1.1 – 1.5%

43%

1.6 – 2.0%

+0.1%8%

+6 extra uitkomsten

y ≥ 2.0%

100%

y ≥ 2.5%

100%

y ≥ 3.0%

100%

+6 extra uitkomsten

0.2%

55%

0.1%

-2.8%31%

0.3%

-1.3%6%

+4 extra uitkomsten

Silicon Data

+3.4%44%

Ornn

-1.8%23.8%

SemiAnalysis

-0.8%12.2%

+5 extra uitkomsten

Alphabet

+6.6%95.4%

NVIDIA

94.6%

Microsoft

+5.7%90.2%

+4 extra uitkomsten

Above 3%

+1.4%100%

Above 4%

+2.0%100%

Above 3.5%

+0.1%100%

+5 extra uitkomsten

Exactly 2.4%

38%

Exactly 2.5%

26%

Exactly 2.3%

+4.0%12%

+13 extra uitkomsten

Above 6.5%

100%

Above 6.6%

97%

Above 6.7%

77%

+3 extra uitkomsten

Headline: Exactly 0.1%, Core: Exactly 0.2%

20%

Headline: Exactly 0.1%, Core: 0.1% or below

14%

Headline: Exactly 0.0%, Core: Exactly 0.2%

13%

+12 extra uitkomsten

0.2%

34%

0.1%

26%

0.3%

-0.1%25%

+4 extra uitkomsten

5.00-5.49%

39%

4.50-4.99%

26%

5.50-5.99%

-1.4%12%

+7 extra uitkomsten

He comes to the US and meets the US president in the white house and a picture is released

100%

He leaves Argentina during his first term

100%

He travels to Chile during his first term

100%

+67 extra uitkomsten

After 2050

50%

Before 2050

48.8%

Before 2045

45%

+7 extra uitkomsten

Above 335.8

98%

Above 333.6

88%

Above 334.0

55%

+9 extra uitkomsten