KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
At least 4.5% 26%+0.8ptKoploper van 6 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
56 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 4,2K
Liquiditeit
€ 197,9K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
8.6 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 minuten geleden
19 mrt 26, 16:0014 feb 27, 13:29
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Regels
If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 5.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 6.0% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 6.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 7.0% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
Open markten
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change+1.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease+0.3pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 40,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1 mln.
KALSHIUS electricity price in August
- Above 19.2¢+3.0pt99%
- Above 19.4¢+2.0pt93%
- Above 19.6¢56%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 35,5K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes-1.0pt55.5%
- No+1.0pt44.5%
- Totaal volume
- € 6,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 11,5K
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Pause–Pause–Pause+3.0pt67%
- Pause–Pause–Cut+0.1pt1%
- Other-2.0pt32%
+6 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting-1.0pt32%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 0 (0+4.0pt45.1%
- 1 (25-1.0pt38.2%
- 2 (50-0.5pt14.7%
+3 extra uitkomsten
Gerelateerde crypto's
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor How high will inflation get this year??
- Kalshi prijst At least 4.5% op 26% per 23 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt How high will inflation get this year? afgewikkeld?
- How high will inflation get this year? wordt naar verwachting op 14 februari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt How high will inflation get this year? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Waar wordt How high will inflation get this year? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Polymarket.