KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Above 4.9% 94%Koploper van 21 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
43 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 6K
Liquiditeit
€ 4,5K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
16.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
17 sep 26, 16:30 UTC13 jan 27, 13:29 UTC
Trends
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Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiInflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiCore inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
KalshiJapan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
PolymarketJapan Core CPI YoY in 2026
PolymarketPoland: Will CPI inflation in Poland exceed X% throughout 2026 (CPI YoY)?
Manifold MarketsRegels
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.0% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.1% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.2% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.3% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.4% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markten
InflationKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.2%98%
- Above 3.3%98%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 265,6K
- 24u volume
- € 76,3K
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+11 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 157,7K
- 24u volume
- € 36,4K
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)-4.5pt61.4%
- 1 (25 bps)-2.5pt18.8%
- 3 (75 bps)+4.4pt17.8%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+4.0pt83.2%
- No-4.0pt16.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 33,1K
- 24u volume
- € 31,4K
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Hike–Pause–Hike-0.5pt41%
- Hike–Hike–Pause+4.5pt24%
- Hike–Hike–Hike-5.0pt20%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026
- September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI core in October
- September Inflation US - Annual
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- September Inflation US - Monthly
- CPI core in September
- CPI month-over-month in Sep 2026?
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)?
- Kalshi prijst Above 4.9% op 94% per 17 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) afgewikkeld?
- Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) wordt naar verwachting op 13 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.0% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.