Huidige impliciete kans
Ja 83.2%+4.0pt
Marktkwaliteit
86 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 31,2K
Liquiditeit
€ 189,7K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
83.0% / 84.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
16 sep 26, 18:24 UTC9 dec 26, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Next Fed rate hike?
KalshiWill the Fed lower the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExFed rate hike by...? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsAnother Fed Rate Hike in 2026?
Manifold MarketsFed rate hike in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market.
- Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
- This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
2 handelsplatforms prijzen deze markt momenteel. De liquiditeitsgewogen referentiekans van CoinRithm voor CoinRithm-referentie is 84%. De noteringen lopen ongeveer 1 procentpunt uiteen.
CoinRithm-referentie 84% · 2 platforms · 1 pt spreiding tussen venues
Open markten
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt49.5%
- No change-4.0pt48.5%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 5,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,5 mln.
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-1.3pt95%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.3pt4%
- Exactly 3 cuts+0.5pt1%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.6pt97.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.2pt2.1%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt0%
+10 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt49.5%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt46.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,4 mln.
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase-3.0pt65%
- No change+3.0pt31.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.2pt1.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- H 25+13.0pt64.9%
- H 0-5.0pt28.9%
- H 26-1.0pt3.5%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
Gerelateerde crypto's
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Another Fed rate hike in 2026??
- Polymarket prijst Yes op 83% per 17 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Another Fed rate hike in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 9 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Another Fed rate hike in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting.
- Waar wordt Another Fed rate hike in 2026? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Limitless.