Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 74.6%
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd25 mei 26, 10:18 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Next Fed rate hike?
KalshiFed rate hike by which date?
PolymarketFed rate hike in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExBank of England rate hike in 2026?
PolymarketFed rate hike in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolves YES if all the following raise rates at least once at any point in 2026:
- US Federal Reserve
- European Central Bank
- Bank of Japan
- Bank of England
- People’s Bank of China
Open markten
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt44.7%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 34,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,2 mln.
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt53%
- No change-2.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 543,5K
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt90.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.0pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)2%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 44,4 mln.
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor 2026 rate hike parlay (Fed + ECB + BOJ + BOE + PBC)?
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 75% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt 2026 rate hike parlay (Fed + ECB + BOJ + BOE + PBC) afgewikkeld?
- 2026 rate hike parlay (Fed + ECB + BOJ + BOE + PBC) wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt 2026 rate hike parlay (Fed + ECB + BOJ + BOE + PBC) afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if all the following raise rates at least once at any point in 2026: