PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
4.70% 71%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 5,9K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 minuten geleden
3 sep 26, 01:05 UTC31 dec 26, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Regels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026.
- If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Open markten
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt53%
- No change-4.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 89,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,3 mln.
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt45%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 33,3 mln.
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt47.8%
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt46.8%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No86%
- Yes+3.8pt14%
- Totaal volume
- € 995,2K
- 24u volume
- € 39,4K
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)-0.1pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)+0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.3pt2%
+10 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt30.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt2.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027??
- Polymarket prijst 4.70% op 71% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026.