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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Inflation
  3. Will the Citrini scenario happen?
Will the Citrini scenario happen?

Will the Citrini scenario happen?

InflationOne-OffEconomieEquities2j
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 29%
Marktkwaliteit

44 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 1,4

Liquiditeit

€ 1,7K

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

29.0% / 30.0%

Spread

3.5%

Gematigde spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden

25 feb 26, 15:001 jul 28, 14:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes29%

Regels

If at least 3 of: unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS) S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50% CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release

Kalshi
  • occur in any release published after Issuance and before July 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Gerelateerde Markten

Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)

€ 8
Above 4.0%: 79%KalshiKALSHI
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)

€ 5,9
Above 4.9%: 42%KalshiKALSHI
Core inflation in July 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

Core inflation in July 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

€ 5,3
Above 2.2%: 99%KalshiKALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

€ 3
Overheating: 48%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How high will inflation get in 2026?

How high will inflation get in 2026?

€ 25,7K
Above 4%: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
June Inflation US - Annual

June Inflation US - Annual

€ 664,6
4.1%: 23%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$62,250.86+1.35%EthereumETH$1,641.16+0.69%SolanaSOL$64.82+0.32%DogecoinDOGE$0.084-0.20%XRPXRP$1.11-0.83%BNBBNB$591.59+0.43%

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Regels

If at least 3 of: unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS) S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50% CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release

Kalshi
  • occur in any release published after Issuance and before July 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.