Would Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander?

Veelgestelde vragen

Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Would Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander??

Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 63.6% per 28 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt Would Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander? afgewikkeld?

Would Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander? wordt naar verwachting op 14 februari 2029 afgewikkeld.

Hoe wordt Would Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander? afgewikkeld?

Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Freddie deBoer offered Scott Alexander the following wager (see https://freddiedeboer.substack.com/p/im-offering-scott-alexander-a-wager )

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POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change+1.1pt95%
• 25 bps increase-0.9pt5%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 80,9 mln.

24u volume

€ 12,4 mln.

KALSHI

Core CPI in October

• Above 0.0%-1.0pt94.5%
• Above 0.1%+1.0pt75.5%
• Above 0.2%44.5%

POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes+2.0pt78.2%
• No-2.0pt21.8%

Totaal volume

€ 982,9K

24u volume

€ 21,8K

KALSHI

PPI YoY in October

• Above 7.1%+88.0pt50%
• Above 7.0%+84.0pt49.5%
• Above 6.1%+6.0pt

KALSHI

October 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core

• Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: Exactly 0.2%11.5%
• Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.3%12.5%
• Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.2%-2.0pt

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above -0.1%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above 0.0%99%
• Above 0.1%-1.0pt89.5%

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