Society & Culture

Elon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?

5.5 pt (24u)1d

40-64

+4.0pt51.5%

65-89

-6.5pt23.3%

<40

+5.5pt19.4%

+7 extra uitkomsten

Hoge kwaliteit (81)Strakke spreadHoge liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 76,4K

24u volumeUS$ 31,5K

POLYMARKET

Turner Prize 2026 Winner

2.5 pt (24u)3mnd

Tanoa Sasraku

30.4%

Kira Freije

+2.5pt28.4%

Marguerite Humeau

+4.0pt27.4%

+1 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (67)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 14,2K

24u volumeUS$ 1,5K

POLYMARKET

Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?

18.0 pt (24u)1j

Vanderbilt

87%

UCLA

+1.0pt85%

Rice

84%

+5 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (59)Gematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 16,6K

24u volumeUS$ 1,2K

KALSHI

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

1.0 pt (24u)3mnd

Nee

+1.0pt76.2%

-1.0pt23.8%

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (61)Gematigde spreadLage liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 17,9K

24u volumeUS$ 1,1K

POLYMARKET

Will Glacier National Park set a visitation record in 2026?

10.0 pt (24u)6mnd

+10.0pt65%

Nee

35%

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (62)Gematigde spreadLage liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 2,2K

24u volumeUS$ 2K

KALSHI

Is Earth flat?

0.1 pt (24u)3mnd

Nee

-0.1pt99%

+0.1pt1%

Hoge kwaliteit (78)Strakke spreadHoge liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 55,7K

24u volumeUS$ 293,2

POLYMARKET

Will California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?

4.0 pt (24u)20d

Nee

82%

+4.0pt18%

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (57)Brede spreadGemiddelde liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 12,8K

24u volumeUS$ 491,3

KALSHI

Harry Kane Knighted in 2026

3mnd

Nee

83%

17%

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (68)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 18,3K

24u volumeUS$ 289,6

KALSHI

What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

4.0 pt (24u)3mnd

Peru

+4.0pt96%

Argentina

88%

Uruguay

88%

+9 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (56)Gematigde spreadHoge liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 192,2K

24u volumeUS$ 103,9

KALSHI

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

0.5 pt (24u)3mnd

Nee

+0.5pt82%

-0.5pt18%

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (59)Gematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 158,6K

24u volumeUS$ 122,3

POLYMARKET

Major news story in Sep 2026?

4.0 pt (24u)20d

At least 1

-4.0pt45%

At least 2

32%

At least 3

21%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (42)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 2K

24u volumeUS$ 272,5

KALSHI

US test scores in Math in 2026?

2.0 pt (24u)1j

Significant decrease

+1.0pt35%

No significant difference

-2.0pt32%

Significant increase

+8.0pt27%

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (57)Gematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 58,2K

24u volumeUS$ 202,4

KALSHI

US test scores in Reading in 2026?

Significant decrease

46%

No significant difference

-2.0pt38%

Significant increase

-3.4pt3%

Lage kwaliteit (49)Brede spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 57,9K

24u volumeUS$ 138,1

KALSHI

Will UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $53,000 in 2026?

2mnd

82%

Nee

18%

Lage kwaliteit (44)Spread onbekendGemiddelde liquiditeit

24u volumeUS$ 500

FORECASTEX

Will UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $54,000 in 2026?

2mnd

69%

Nee

31%

Lage kwaliteit (44)Spread onbekendGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

24u volumeUS$ 500

FORECASTEX

Will UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?

1.0 pt (24u)2mnd

Nee

71%

29%

Lage kwaliteit (40)Spread onbekendLage liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

24u volumeUS$ 327

FORECASTEX

Will UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $56,000 in 2026?

2mnd

Nee

82%

18%

Lage kwaliteit (38)Spread onbekendLage liquiditeit

24u volumeUS$ 253

FORECASTEX

MrBeast: 1 Billion subscribers

3mnd

Nee

98%

Lage kwaliteit (41)Spread onbekendGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 26,2K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?

5mnd

Nee

82%

18%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 21,1K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?

2.0 pt (24u)6mnd

Nee

94%

-2.0pt6%

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (60)Gematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 17,9K

24u volumeUS$ 0,5

KALSHI

What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?

1.0 pt (24u)2mnd

Above 4.1 million

93%

Above 4.2 million

88%

Above 4.3 million

+1.0pt62%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (54)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 17,2K

24u volumeUS$ 0,9

KALSHI

Bayeux Tapestry back in France by which date?

3.5 pt (24u)1j

2027

-3.5pt70.6%

July 31, 2027

-3.5pt27.7%

2026

-0.1pt1.7%

Lage kwaliteit (36)Gematigde spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 7,1K

24u volumeUS$ 35,1

POLYMARKET

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

1.0 pt (24u)1mnd

-1.0pt50.5%

Nee

+1.0pt49.5%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Gematigde spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 7,5K

24u volumeUS$ 20

POLYMARKET

When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?

2mnd

Before Jan 1, 2027

28%

Before Jul 1, 2027

25%

Before Dec 1, 2026

Lage kwaliteit (48)Gematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 12,9K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?

3mnd

60%

Nee

40%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 10,4K

24u volume—

KALSHI

60 minutes: Joe Rogan joins as a Correspondent this year?

3mnd

Nee

93%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Gematigde spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 10,1K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026

4.0 pt (24u)8mnd

Above 950 units

98%

Above 1,100 units

93%

Above 1,250 units

-4.0pt78%

+3 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (55)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 9,8K

24u volumeUS$ 0,4

KALSHI

Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?

0.1 pt (24u)3mnd

Nee

+0.1pt98%

-0.1pt2%

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (61)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 5,3K

24u volumeUS$ 24,4

POLYMARKET

Will NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?

3mnd

Nee

87%

13%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 9,7K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Which firearm will receive the most votes in Idaho's State Gun advisory question?

Winchester Model 1873 (.44-40)

41%

1873 Colt Single Action Army Revolver (.45 Colt)

15%

Colt M1911 .45 automatic Colt pistol (.45 ACP)

13%

+3 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (47)Gematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 8,6K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Graham Platner divorce by October 31?

0.2 pt (24u)1mnd

Nee

-0.2pt96%

+0.2pt4%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Gematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 7,6K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?

0.3 pt (24u)3mnd

Nee

+0.3pt97%

-0.3pt3%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Gematigde spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 7,2K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026

6mnd

Above 1.7 million

96%

Above 1.9 million

84%

Above 2.0 million

+3.0pt60%

+5 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 6,2K

24u volumeUS$ 0,4

KALSHI

Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030?

91%

Nee

Lage kwaliteit (45)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 5,7K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?

3mnd

Yale

52%

Columbia

45%

Notre Dame

43%

+8 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (39)Brede spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 4,8K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?

0.1 pt (24u)3mnd

-0.1pt98%

Nee

+0.1pt2%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 4,6K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by which date?

1.5 pt (24u)20d

September 30

-0.1pt10%

June 30

-1.5pt0%

July 31

-10.6pt0%

+1 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (22)Spread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 4,6K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Nick Fuentes and Sophie Rain confirmed relationship by September 30?

0.1 pt (24u)20d

Nee

-0.1pt98%

+0.1pt2%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Gematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 3,3K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Another Elon baby by December 31?

11.5 pt (24u)3mnd

Nee

-11.5pt83.2%

+11.5pt16.8%

Lage kwaliteit (34)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 919,2

24u volumeUS$ 59,1

POLYMARKET

Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026

1.0 pt (24u)4mnd

Above 9.6 million

-1.0pt90%

Above 9.8 million

52%

Above 10.0 million

13%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (49)Strakke spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 2,2K

24u volumeUS$ 0,4

KALSHI

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

0.5 pt (24u)7mnd

Down

+0.5pt88%

-0.5pt12%

Lage kwaliteit (33)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 2,2K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Will UC reinstate its SAT/ACT requirement before 2028?

69%

Nee

31%

Lage kwaliteit (42)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 1,9K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date

3mnd

Before Jan 1, 2028

42.2%

Before Jul 1, 2027

37.9%

Before Jan 1, 2027

19.8%

Lage kwaliteit (33)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 1,9K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Will West Virginia's population grow in 2026?

3mnd

Nee

77%

23%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Gematigde spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 1,6K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?

3mnd

Nee

73%

27%

Lage kwaliteit (35)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 1,6K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

2.5 pt (24u)1mnd

-2.5pt55.5%

Nee

+2.5pt44.5%

Lage kwaliteit (32)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 1,6K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?

3mnd

The Rock

25%

Shaquille O'Neal

25%

Scarlett Johansson

20%

+7 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (31)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 1,5K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?

3.0 pt (24u)3mnd

Nee

-3.0pt87%

+3.0pt13%

Lage kwaliteit (33)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 927,7

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Gerelateerde Crypto-assets

Elon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?

Turner Prize 2026 Winner

Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

Will Glacier National Park set a visitation record in 2026?

Is Earth flat?

Will California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?

Harry Kane Knighted in 2026

What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Major news story in Sep 2026?

US test scores in Math in 2026?

US test scores in Reading in 2026?

Will UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $53,000 in 2026?

Will UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $54,000 in 2026?

Will UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?

Will UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $56,000 in 2026?

MrBeast: 1 Billion subscribers

Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?

Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?

What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?

Bayeux Tapestry back in France by which date?

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?

Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?

60 minutes: Joe Rogan joins as a Correspondent this year?

Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026

Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?

Will NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?

Which firearm will receive the most votes in Idaho's State Gun advisory question?

Graham Platner divorce by October 31?

Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?

New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026

Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030?

Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?

Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by which date?

Nick Fuentes and Sophie Rain confirmed relationship by September 30?

Another Elon baby by December 31?

Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Will UC reinstate its SAT/ACT requirement before 2028?

Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date

Will West Virginia's population grow in 2026?

Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?

Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?

Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?

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