Society & Culture

Elon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?

1.5 pt (24u)2d

40-64

+3.0pt47.5%

65-89

+1.5pt29.7%

<40

+1.5pt13.9%

+7 extra uitkomsten

Hoge kwaliteit (78)Gematigde spreadHoge liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 44,7K

24u volumeUS$ 11,4K

POLYMARKET

Will California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?

12.0 pt (24u)21d

Nee

86%

+12.0pt14%

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (64)Gematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 12,3K

24u volumeUS$ 4,5K

KALSHI

Will NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?

1.0 pt (24u)3mnd

Nee

87%

+1.0pt13%

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (69)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 9,7K

24u volumeUS$ 1,7K

KALSHI

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

4.5 pt (24u)3mnd

Nee

-4.5pt75.3%

+4.5pt24.8%

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (60)Gematigde spreadLage liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 16,7K

24u volumeUS$ 939,6

POLYMARKET

Harry Kane Knighted in 2026

3mnd

Nee

83%

17%

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (66)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 18K

24u volumeUS$ 337,7

KALSHI

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

1.0 pt (24u)3mnd

Nee

+1.0pt81.2%

-1.0pt18.8%

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (62)Gematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 158,5K

24u volumeUS$ 200

POLYMARKET

Is Earth flat?

0.1 pt (24u)3mnd

Nee

+0.1pt99%

-0.1pt1%

Hoge kwaliteit (75)Strakke spreadHoge liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 55,4K

24u volumeUS$ 123,6

POLYMARKET

Will Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?

21d

Nee

82%

18%

Lage kwaliteit (45)Spread onbekendGemiddelde liquiditeit

24u volumeUS$ 600

FORECASTEX

Will Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?

21d

85%

Nee

15%

Lage kwaliteit (44)Spread onbekendGemiddelde liquiditeit

24u volumeUS$ 600

FORECASTEX

Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?

Vanderbilt

87%

Rice

84%

UCLA

84%

+5 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (58)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 15,4K

24u volumeUS$ 150

KALSHI

What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

17.0 pt (24u)3mnd

Peru

92%

Argentina

88%

Uruguay

88%

+9 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (50)Brede spreadHoge liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 192K

24u volumeUS$ 69

KALSHI

US test scores in Math in 2026?

9.4 pt (24u)1j

No significant difference

-5.0pt34%

Significant decrease

34%

Significant increase

+9.4pt19%

Lage kwaliteit (42)Brede spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 58K

24u volumeUS$ 81,5

KALSHI

US test scores in Reading in 2026?

0.2 pt (24u)1j

Significant decrease

+7.0pt46%

No significant difference

40%

Significant increase

+0.2pt6%

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (58)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 57,8K

24u volumeUS$ 76,5

KALSHI

Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?

3.0 pt (24u)6mnd

Nee

92%

+3.0pt8%

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (60)Gematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 17,9K

24u volumeUS$ 23,3

KALSHI

MrBeast: 1 Billion subscribers

3mnd

Nee

98%

Lage kwaliteit (41)Spread onbekendGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 26,2K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?

5mnd

Nee

82%

18%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 21,1K

24u volume—

KALSHI

What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?

2mnd

Above 4.1 million

93%

Above 4.2 million

88%

Above 4.3 million

61%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 17,2K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

0.5 pt (24u)1mnd

+0.5pt51.5%

Nee

-0.5pt48.5%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 7,5K

24u volumeUS$ 20

POLYMARKET

When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?

2mnd

Before Jan 1, 2027

28%

Before Jul 1, 2027

25%

Before Dec 1, 2026

Lage kwaliteit (48)Gematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 12,9K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Turner Prize 2026 Winner

3mnd

Tanoa Sasraku

30.7%

Kira Freije

26.7%

Marguerite Humeau

23.8%

+1 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 12,6K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?

3mnd

60%

Nee

40%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 10,4K

24u volume—

KALSHI

60 minutes: Joe Rogan joins as a Correspondent this year?

4mnd

Nee

93%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Gematigde spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 10,1K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026

8mnd

Above 950 units

98%

Above 1,100 units

93%

Above 1,250 units

82%

+3 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 9,8K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Which firearm will receive the most votes in Idaho's State Gun advisory question?

Winchester Model 1873 (.44-40)

41%

1873 Colt Single Action Army Revolver (.45 Colt)

15%

Colt M1911 .45 automatic Colt pistol (.45 ACP)

13%

+3 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (47)Gematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 8,6K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Graham Platner divorce by October 31?

0.8 pt (24u)1mnd

Nee

+0.8pt96%

-0.8pt4%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 7,6K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?

0.2 pt (24u)3mnd

Nee

-0.2pt97%

+0.2pt3%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 7,2K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Bayeux Tapestry back in France by which date?

2027

+1.5pt69.6%

July 31, 2027

+1.0pt28.8%

2026

1.6%

Lage kwaliteit (40)Strakke spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 7,1K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026

6mnd

Above 1.7 million

96%

Above 1.9 million

84%

Above 2.0 million

57%

+5 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 6,2K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030?

91%

Nee

Lage kwaliteit (45)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 5,7K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date

9mnd

Before Jan 1, 2028

42.2%

Before Jul 1, 2027

37.9%

Before Jan 1, 2027

-1.0pt19.8%

Lage kwaliteit (44)Gematigde spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 1,9K

24u volumeUS$ 56,6

KALSHI

Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?

0.1 pt (24u)3mnd

Nee

+0.1pt98%

-0.1pt2%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 5,2K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?

3mnd

Yale

52%

Columbia

45%

Notre Dame

43%

+8 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (41)Brede spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 4,8K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?

3mnd

98%

Nee

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 4,6K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by which date?

1.5 pt (24u)21d

September 30

+0.1pt10%

June 30

-1.5pt0%

July 31

-10.6pt0%

+1 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (22)Spread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 4,6K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Nick Fuentes and Sophie Rain confirmed relationship by September 30?

0.1 pt (24u)21d

Nee

+0.1pt98%

-0.1pt2%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Gematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 3,3K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?

9.0 pt (24u)3mnd

Nee

73%

-9.0pt27%

Lage kwaliteit (43)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 1,6K

24u volumeUS$ 15,4

KALSHI

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

7mnd

Down

87.1%

12.9%

Lage kwaliteit (32)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 2,2K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026

4mnd

Above 9.6 million

91%

Above 9.8 million

52%

Above 10.0 million

13%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (49)Strakke spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 2,2K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Will UC reinstate its SAT/ACT requirement before 2028?

69%

Nee

31%

Lage kwaliteit (42)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 1,9K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?

6.0 pt (24u)3mnd

Shaquille O'Neal

-6.0pt25%

The Rock

25%

Scarlett Johansson

20%

+7 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (38)Gematigde spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 1,5K

24u volumeUS$ 5,3

KALSHI

Major news story in Sep 2026?

21d

At least 1

49%

At least 2

32%

At least 3

21%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (49)Strakke spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 1,7K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Will West Virginia's population grow in 2026?

3mnd

Nee

77%

23%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Gematigde spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 1,6K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

1.5 pt (24u)1mnd

-1.5pt58%

Nee

+1.5pt42%

Lage kwaliteit (32)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 1,6K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?

0.5 pt (24u)3mnd

Nee

+0.5pt90%

-0.5pt10%

Lage kwaliteit (47)Gematigde spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 927,7

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Another Elon baby by December 31?

3mnd

Nee

95%

Lage kwaliteit (47)Gematigde spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 860,1

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Maine lobster landings in 2026

6mnd

Above 70 million pounds

65%

Above 75 million pounds

43%

Above 80 million pounds

21%

+5 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (46)Strakke spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 559

24u volume—

KALSHI

What will NYC’s average daily shelter census be in December 2026?

5mnd

Above 86,000

95%

Above 88,000

94%

Above 90,000

93%

+5 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (31)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 450

24u volume—

KALSHI

Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026?

6mnd

Nee

88.1%

11.9%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 321,9

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Gerelateerde Crypto-assets

Elon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?

Will California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?

Will NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

Harry Kane Knighted in 2026

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Is Earth flat?

Will Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?

Will Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?

Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?

What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

US test scores in Math in 2026?

US test scores in Reading in 2026?

Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?

MrBeast: 1 Billion subscribers

Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?

What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?

Turner Prize 2026 Winner

Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?

60 minutes: Joe Rogan joins as a Correspondent this year?

Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026

Which firearm will receive the most votes in Idaho's State Gun advisory question?

Graham Platner divorce by October 31?

Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?

Bayeux Tapestry back in France by which date?

New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026

Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030?

Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date

Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?

Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?

Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by which date?

Nick Fuentes and Sophie Rain confirmed relationship by September 30?

Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026

Will UC reinstate its SAT/ACT requirement before 2028?

Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?

Major news story in Sep 2026?

Will West Virginia's population grow in 2026?

Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?

Another Elon baby by December 31?

Maine lobster landings in 2026

What will NYC’s average daily shelter census be in December 2026?

Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026?

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