Society & Culture

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

12d

Trump (5+ times)

99%

Supreme Court

99%

AI / Artificial Intelligence

99%

+14 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (≤74)Strakke spreadHoge liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 131,9K

24u volumeUS$ 131,9K

KALSHI

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

4.0 pt (24u)3mnd

Nee

-4.0pt78.2%

+4.0pt21.8%

Lage kwaliteit (42)Brede spreadLage liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 22,2K

24u volumeUS$ 1,7K

POLYMARKET

Is Earth flat?

3mnd

Nee

99%

Hoge kwaliteit (79)Strakke spreadHoge liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 57,3K

24u volumeUS$ 777,1

POLYMARKET

Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?

5.0 pt (24u)3mnd

Yale

-4.0pt55%

Notre Dame

+5.0pt45%

Columbia

45%

+8 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (45)Brede spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 5,9K

24u volumeUS$ 501

KALSHI

Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?

1.0 pt (24u)1j

Vanderbilt

87%

Rice

84%

UCLA

79%

+5 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (53)Gematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 17,7K

24u volumeUS$ 238,1

KALSHI

What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?

1mnd

Above 4.1 million

94%

Above 4.2 million

89%

Above 4.3 million

61%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (58)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 20K

24u volumeUS$ 200

KALSHI

Harry Kane Knighted in 2026

2.0 pt (24u)3mnd

Nee

82%

+2.0pt18%

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (63)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 19,2K

24u volumeUS$ 127,5

KALSHI

Will California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?

4.0 pt (24u)14d

Nee

94%

+4.0pt6%

Lage kwaliteit (43)Spread onbekendGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 16,9K

24u volumeUS$ 132

KALSHI

Will UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $54,000 in 2026?

2mnd

69%

Nee

31%

Lage kwaliteit (41)Spread onbekendGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

24u volumeUS$ 138

FORECASTEX

What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

3mnd

Peru

93%

Argentina

92%

Uruguay

92%

+9 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (54)Gematigde spreadHoge liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 192,4K

24u volumeUS$ 2,1

KALSHI

US test scores in Reading in 2026?

8.0 pt (24u)1j

Significant decrease

-5.0pt53.9%

No significant difference

+8.0pt35.6%

Significant increase

10.6%

Lage kwaliteit (48)Brede spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 58,8K

24u volumeUS$ 52

KALSHI

2027 Steel Bridge National Champion

9mnd

Arkansas State

University of Florida

Lafayette College

+97 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (24)Spread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 104,4

24u volumeUS$ 104,4

KALSHI

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

3mnd

Nee

82.2%

17.8%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Gematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 158,7K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

US test scores in Math in 2026?

Significant decrease

43.4%

No significant difference

37.4%

Significant increase

19.2%

Lage kwaliteit (48)Brede spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 58,3K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?

5mnd

Nee

78%

22%

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (62)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 26,4K

24u volumeUS$ 21,6

KALSHI

60 minutes: Joe Rogan joins as a Correspondent this year?

3mnd

Nee

93%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Gematigde spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 10,2K

24u volumeUS$ 50

KALSHI

MrBeast: 1 Billion subscribers

3mnd

Nee

99%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 26,5K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026

8mnd

Above 950 units

96%

Above 1,100 units

93%

Above 1,250 units

79%

+3 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 20,8K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?

0.1 pt (24u)3mnd

-0.1pt98%

Nee

+0.1pt2%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 4,7K

24u volumeUS$ 85,7

POLYMARKET

Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?

4.4 pt (24u)3mnd

Nee

+4.4pt95%

-4.4pt5%

Lage kwaliteit (45)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 7,6K

24u volumeUS$ 41

POLYMARKET

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

0.5 pt (24u)1mnd

Nee

+0.5pt50.5%

-0.5pt49.5%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 7,6K

24u volumeUS$ 40

POLYMARKET

Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?

6mnd

Nee

92%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 18,3K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Turner Prize 2026 Winner

2mnd

Kira Freije

30.7%

Tanoa Sasraku

30.7%

Marguerite Humeau

27.7%

+1 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 14,2K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026

6mnd

Above 1.7 million

96%

Above 1.9 million

89%

Above 2.0 million

77%

+5 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 13,8K

24u volume—

KALSHI

When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?

2mnd

Before Jul 1, 2027

25%

Before Jan 1, 2027

16%

Before Dec 1, 2026

Lage kwaliteit (45)Gematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 13,2K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Will NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?

3mnd

Nee

84%

16%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeit

Totaal volumeUS$ 12,3K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?

3mnd

60%

Nee

40%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 12,2K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Maine lobster landings in 2026

1.0 pt (24u)6mnd

Above 55 million pounds

94%

Above 70 million pounds

+1.0pt66%

Above 75 million pounds

44%

+5 extra uitkomsten

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (53)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 7,9K

24u volumeUS$ 4,4

KALSHI

Which firearm will receive the most votes in Idaho's State Gun advisory question?

Winchester Model 1873 (.44-40)

41%

1873 Colt Single Action Army Revolver (.45 Colt)

15%

Colt M1911 .45 automatic Colt pistol (.45 ACP)

13%

+3 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (42)Brede spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit

Totaal volumeUS$ 8,6K

24u volumeUS$ 0,7

KALSHI

Graham Platner divorce by October 31?

0.3 pt (24u)1mnd

Nee

-0.3pt96%

+0.3pt4%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Gematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 7,6K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Bayeux Tapestry back in France by which date?

2027

-0.5pt68.6%

July 31, 2027

29.8%

2026

1.6%

Lage kwaliteit (43)Strakke spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 7,1K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030?

91%

Nee

Lage kwaliteit (45)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 5,7K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?

0.1 pt (24u)3mnd

Nee

+0.1pt98%

-0.1pt2%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 5,3K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by which date?

1.5 pt (24u)14d

September 30

-0.1pt9%

June 30

-1.5pt0%

July 31

-10.6pt0%

+1 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (22)Spread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 4,6K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Will Glacier National Park set a visitation record in 2026?

5mnd

67%

Nee

33%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 4,2K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Nick Fuentes and Sophie Rain confirmed relationship by September 30?

14d

Nee

98%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Gematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 3,3K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

3.0 pt (24u)1mnd

+3.0pt64%

Nee

-3.0pt36%

Lage kwaliteit (33)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 1,6K

24u volumeUS$ 20

POLYMARKET

Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026

4mnd

Above 9.6 million

91%

Above 9.8 million

52%

Above 10.0 million

13%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (49)Strakke spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 2,5K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?

3mnd

Scarlett Johansson

26%

Shaquille O'Neal

26%

The Rock

25%

+7 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (33)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 2,3K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date

49.0 pt (24u)1j

Before Jan 1, 2028

+49.0pt98%

Before Jul 1, 2027

47%

Before Jan 1, 2027

22%

Lage kwaliteit (29)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 2,1K

24u volumeUS$ 2

KALSHI

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

0.5 pt (24u)7mnd

Down

+0.5pt88%

-0.5pt12%

Lage kwaliteit (33)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 2,2K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Will UC reinstate its SAT/ACT requirement before 2028?

68%

Nee

32%

Lage kwaliteit (44)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 2K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Major news story in Sep 2026?

14d

At least 1

30.8%

At least 2

27.4%

At least 3

17.9%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (35)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 2K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Will West Virginia's population grow in 2026?

3mnd

Nee

77%

23%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 1,8K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?

3mnd

Nee

64%

36%

Lage kwaliteit (43)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 1,6K

24u volume—

KALSHI

Another Elon baby by December 31?

3.0 pt (24u)3mnd

Nee

+3.0pt88.1%

-3.0pt11.9%

Lage kwaliteit (32)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 933,5

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?

4.0 pt (24u)3mnd

Nee

+4.0pt88.1%

-4.0pt11.9%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 927,7

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026?

1.0 pt (24u)6mnd

Nee

+1.0pt62%

-1.0pt38%

Lage kwaliteit (33)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 396,2

24u volumeUS$ 31,7

POLYMARKET

Gerelateerde Crypto-assets

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

Is Earth flat?

Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?

Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?

What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?

Harry Kane Knighted in 2026

Will California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?

Will UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $54,000 in 2026?

What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

US test scores in Reading in 2026?

2027 Steel Bridge National Champion

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

US test scores in Math in 2026?

Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?

60 minutes: Joe Rogan joins as a Correspondent this year?

MrBeast: 1 Billion subscribers

Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026

Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?

Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?

Turner Prize 2026 Winner

New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026

When will a court halt an NYC municipal grocery store?

Will NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?

Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?

Maine lobster landings in 2026

Which firearm will receive the most votes in Idaho's State Gun advisory question?

Graham Platner divorce by October 31?

Bayeux Tapestry back in France by which date?

Will Karl Bushby Finish His World Walk to Hull Before 2030?

Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by which date?

Will Glacier National Park set a visitation record in 2026?

Nick Fuentes and Sophie Rain confirmed relationship by September 30?

Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026

Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?

Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Will UC reinstate its SAT/ACT requirement before 2028?

Major news story in Sep 2026?

Will West Virginia's population grow in 2026?

Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?

Another Elon baby by December 31?

Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?

Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026?

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