Huidige impliciete kans
Soft Landing 62%+3.5%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
79 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,5K
Liquiditeit
€ 10,3K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
61.0% / 62.0%
Spread
1.6%
Strakke spread7d wijziging
+20.0%
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
24 apr 26, 21:4931 jan 27, 0:00
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Soft Landing62%
Platforms vergelijken· Soft landing
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketDeze paginaBeste algemeen | Hoog | 62% | 0pt | € 1,5K | € 10,3K | 6 minuten geleden | |
 Kalshi93% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | Gemiddeld | 62% | 0pt | € 924,9 | € 21K | 26 minuten geleden | Openen → |
Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi
State of the economy at the end of 2026
2.3%5mnd
+2.3%62%
-5.5%20%
12%
+1 extra uitkomsten
52 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitBrede spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit
Totaal volume€ 45,3K
24u volume€ 924,9
KALSHIRegels
The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release.
- The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release.
- This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026.
- If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
- This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Volumetrend
$1.8k2 jul24d aan data26 jul
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The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release.
- The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release.
- This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026.
- If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
- This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.