Huidige impliciete kans
Soft Landing 48.5%-8.0ptKoploper van 4 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
46 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 527,4
Liquiditeit
€ 4K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
11.0 pt
Brede spreadReacties
5
7d wijziging
-11.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
24 apr 26, 21:49 UTC31 jan 27, 00:00 UTC
Trends
0%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
US economic recession in 2026?
FutuurWill the US have an economic depression before January 2030?
Manifold MarketsBy 2028, will economists attribute a visible break in US economic or productivity trends to AI?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a Trump economic boom?
KalshiWhen will the next big economic crash occur?
Manifold MarketsFed Decision in September?
PolymarketRegels
The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release.
- The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release.
- This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026.
- If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026.
- This market will resolve to “the named outcome (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
- This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — State of the economy at the end of 2026 · Soft landing 58%
Open markten
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 91 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,7 mln.
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 569,7K
- 24u volume
- € 47,4K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 359,2K
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.5%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.5%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,900+1.0pt82%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 79,7K
- 24u volume
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+5.0pt86%
- Above 0.2%36%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 18,3K
- 24u volume
- € 7,3K
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI in September
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI-U index in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Core CPI YoY - August 2026
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor US economic state at the end of 2026??
- Polymarket prijst Soft Landing op 48% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt US economic state at the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- US economic state at the end of 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt US economic state at the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release.
- Waar wordt US economic state at the end of 2026? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Kalshi.