KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Exactly 2 56.6%-4.0ptKoploper van 5 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
72 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 10,1K
Liquiditeit
€ 18K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
2.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
15 sep 26, 17:00 UTC3 jan 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
If the number of rate hikes by the Federal Open Market Committee during calendar year 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Federal Reserve
- Please note the following definition of a "rate hike": A single ‘hike’ is considered an increase in the upper bound by at least 1 basis point and up to and including 25 basis points.
- An increase of the upper bound of the target range 26-50 basis points hike is considered two hikes.
- An increase of the upper bound of the target range 51-75 basis points is considered three hikes.
Open markten
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt49.5%
- No change-4.0pt48.5%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 5,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,5 mln.
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-1.3pt95%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.3pt4%
- Exactly 3 cuts+0.5pt1%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.6pt97.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.2pt2.1%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt0%
+10 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt49.5%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt46.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,4 mln.
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase-3.0pt65%
- No change+3.0pt31.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.2pt1.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- H 25+13.0pt64.9%
- H 0-5.0pt28.9%
- H 26-1.0pt3.5%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Number of rate hikes in 2026??
- Kalshi prijst Exactly 2 op 57% per 17 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Number of rate hikes in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 3 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Number of rate hikes in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the number of rate hikes by the Federal Open Market Committee during calendar year 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.