Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

6.3% (24u)FedOne-Off5mnd

KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten

Huidige impliciete kans

Ja 6%-6.3%

Marktkwaliteit

89 / 100

Hoge kwaliteit

24u volume

€ 10,6K

Liquiditeit

€ 177K

Hoge liquiditeit

Bied / Laat

9.0% / 9.5%

Spread

5.6%

Gematigde spread

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 15 minuten geleden

6 jan 26, 15:001 jan 27, 15:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes6%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included.
The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.

Volumetrend

$12.1k

2 jul7d aan data8 jul

Macrogevoelige Assets

BitcoinBTC$61,755.49-3.40%

EthereumETH$1,724.89-3.98%

SolanaSOL$76.85-6.27%

Gerelateerde Markten

Fed decision in Jul 2026?

€ 1,8 mln.

Hike >25bps: 1%

KALSHI

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike by...?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

€ 85,8K

0 (0: 77%

POLYMARKET

Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?

€ 83,9K

Above 3.75%: 23%

KALSHI

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

€ 18,3K

Exactly 0 cuts: 76%

KALSHI

Actief in deze onderwerpen

DogecoinDOGE$0.072-4.27%

XRPXRP$1.07-4.84%

BNBBNB$562.63-3.77%

ZcashZEC$455.32-8.18%

CardanoADA$0.1658-6.41%

HyperliquidHYPE$67.08-6.68%

Gerelateerd Nieuws

Bitcoin climbs toward $60,000 after Fed Chair Warsh said inflation risks has come downCoindesk

U.S. Supreme Court blocks Trump bid to remove Fed Governor Lisa CookCrypto News

BofA sees 75 bps Fed hikes as Polymarket keeps 2026 no-cuts at 77%Blockchain.News

Hot PCE inflation fuels rate-hike talk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 89.5%Blockchain.News

PCE inflation update keeps Fed path in focus as Polymarket pegs 0 cuts at 80%Blockchain.News

Inflation warning revives hike talk as Polymarket keeps 2026 at 82% zero cutsBlockchain.News

Regels

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included.
The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

6.3% (24u)FedOne-Off5mnd

KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten

Huidige impliciete kans

Ja 6%-6.3%

Marktkwaliteit

89 / 100

Hoge kwaliteit

24u volume

€ 10,6K

Liquiditeit

€ 177K

Hoge liquiditeit

Bied / Laat

9.0% / 9.5%

Spread

5.6%

Gematigde spread

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 15 minuten geleden

6 jan 26, 15:001 jan 27, 15:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes6%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included.
The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.

Volumetrend

$12.1k

2 jul7d aan data8 jul

Macrogevoelige Assets

BitcoinBTC$61,755.49-3.40%

EthereumETH$1,724.89-3.98%

SolanaSOL$76.85-6.27%

Gerelateerde Markten

Fed decision in Jul 2026?

€ 1,8 mln.

Hike >25bps: 1%

KALSHI

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike by...?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

€ 85,8K

0 (0: 77%

POLYMARKET

Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?

€ 83,9K

Above 3.75%: 23%

KALSHI

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

€ 18,3K

Exactly 0 cuts: 76%

KALSHI

Actief in deze onderwerpen

DogecoinDOGE$0.072-4.27%

XRPXRP$1.07-4.84%

BNBBNB$562.63-3.77%

ZcashZEC$455.32-8.18%

CardanoADA$0.1658-6.41%

HyperliquidHYPE$67.08-6.68%

Gerelateerd Nieuws

Bitcoin climbs toward $60,000 after Fed Chair Warsh said inflation risks has come downCoindesk

U.S. Supreme Court blocks Trump bid to remove Fed Governor Lisa CookCrypto News

BofA sees 75 bps Fed hikes as Polymarket keeps 2026 no-cuts at 77%Blockchain.News

Hot PCE inflation fuels rate-hike talk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 89.5%Blockchain.News

PCE inflation update keeps Fed path in focus as Polymarket pegs 0 cuts at 80%Blockchain.News

Inflation warning revives hike talk as Polymarket keeps 2026 at 82% zero cutsBlockchain.News

Regels

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included.
The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.