KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 95%
Marktkwaliteit
79 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,6K
Liquiditeit
€ 180,8K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
3.3% / 4.9%
Spread
1.6 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
6 jan 26, 15:00 UTC1 jan 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Fed rate cut before 2027?
KalshiFed rate cut by which date?
PolymarketFed emergency rate cut before 2027?
PolymarketECB rate cut in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExFed rate cut by which date?
LimitlessRegels
If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Federal Reserve
- For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included.
- The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Open markten
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt44.7%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 34,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,2 mln.
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt53%
- No change-2.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 543,5K
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt90.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.0pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)2%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 44,4 mln.
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Gerelateerde crypto's
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year??
- Kalshi prijst No op 95% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year? afgewikkeld?
- Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.