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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Fed
  3. ECB rate cut in 2026?
ECB rate cut in 2026?

ECB rate cut in 2026?

0.5% (24u)FedOne-OffEuropeCentral Banks6mnd
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 14%+0.0%
Marktkwaliteit

24 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 0

Liquiditeit

€ 1,5K

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

13.0% / 15.0%

Spread

15.4%

Brede spread
7d wijziging

+0.5%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden

23 dec 25, 22:4631 dec 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes14%

Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
  • If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Macrogevoelige Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,978.79+2.53%EthereumETH$1,661.11+1.78%SolanaSOL$65.42+1.74%

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.56%BNBBNB$597.15+1.83%XRPXRP$1.12+0.44%CardanoADA$0.1654+2.63%HyperliquidHYPE$56.06+0.99%LitecoinLTC$42.70+0.46%

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Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
  • If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.