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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Geopolitiek
  3. Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

1.9% (24u)GeopolitiekOne-OffUS Politics6mnd
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
December 31
December 31 7%+1.9%
Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

100 / 100

Hoge kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 12,3K

Liquiditeit

€ 146,6K

Hoge liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

6.6% / 6.7%

Spread

1.5%

Strakke spread
7d wijziging

-1.5%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden

5 nov 25, 19:1031 dec 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans
April 30
April 30
0%
June 30
June 30
0%

Gekozen uitkomst

December 317%

Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
  • Any action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
  • The U.S.'s exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
  • The resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
  • Any action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
  • The U.S.'s exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
  • The resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.