Will the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency?
PolitiekGeopolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekEuropa2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 80.4%
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72
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd1 mrt 25, 03:14 UTC1 jan 29, 15:59 UTC
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KalshiRegels
Will resolve YES if the US Government formally withdraws from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) while Donald J. Trump is acting US President.
- Resolution will NOT be dependent on A 2/3 Senate super majority or act of Congress if Trump unilaterally withdraws and the Federal courts do not declare such withdrawal unlawful.
- Update 2025-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Notice of Denunciation Clarification:
- Sufficient Action: The market will resolve YES if the US sends a formal notice of denunciation to NATO.
- Waiting Period Irrelevant: The one-year waiting period between the notice and actual withdrawal is not required for a YES outcome.