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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
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  3. Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

One-OffPolitiekEurope6mnd
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 22%
Marktkwaliteit

72 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 112

Liquiditeit

€ 28,8K

Hoge liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

21.0% / 22.0%

Spread

4.8%

Gematigde spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden

5 nov 25, 19:4031 dec 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes22%

Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.