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Gegevens van 1 sep 2026, 18:30 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
Nee 95%
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 27,1K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
4.8% / 6.1%
Spread
1.3 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
6
7d wijziging
+1.1 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd23 jan 26, 22:301 jan 27, 4:59
Trends
Regels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of at least two NATO member states between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force, such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between the military forces of at least two NATO member states.
- Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
- Note: For the purposes of this market, coast guard services or equivalent forces will be considered part of a country’s military only if they are officially designated as military forces under that country’s law or command structure; purely civilian or law-enforcement maritime agencies will not be considered military forces.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027??
- Polymarket prijst No op 95% per 1 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of at least two NATO member states between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.