Huidige impliciete kans
Nee 91.1%
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 8,7K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
8.0% / 9.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
1
7d wijziging
+1.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
1 apr 26, 20:04 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
PolymarketWill Northern Cyprus be recognized by a country other than Turkey before October 2026?
Manifold MarketsNew F-35 sold to Turkey by EOY2028?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution.
- Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
- Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held.
- An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.6pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 112,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,2 mln.
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.9pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 184,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 891,3K
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Totaal volume
- € 4,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 505,9K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 25,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 384,3K
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 358,3K
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- TX-15 House winner?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026??
- Polymarket prijst No op 91% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.