PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
25 bps increase 57.7%-0.5ptKoploper van 5 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
51 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 603,9
Liquiditeit
€ 3,8K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
7.0 pt
Brede spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 minuten geleden
14 sep 26, 22:13 UTC17 dec 26, 11:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
PolymarketECB Interest Rates: October 2026
LimitlessWill the Fed raise the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Fed raise the rate 25bps in December 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastEx🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in October 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Tumbles understand why raising interest rates lowers inflation? (before 2027)
Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 16-17, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Limitless — ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 · 25 bps increase 56%
Open markten
Central Banks
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Hike 25bps+11.0pt46.8%
- Fed maintains rate-6.0pt46.3%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt3.2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 109,8K
- 24u volume
- € 20,7K
KALSHIChicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September
- Above -0.6298%
- Above -0.60+1.0pt95%
- Above -0.58+7.0pt86%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 26,6K
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in October?
- No change+2.5pt79.6%
- 25 bps increase-0.5pt17.5%
- 50+ bps increase+1.4pt2.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- No change+1.0pt52.9%
- 25 bps increase+1.5pt47.1%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in October
- Maintain current rate+19.0pt73.7%
- Hike 25bps-2.0pt16.7%
- Hike more than 25bps+7.0pt7.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in November
- Hike 1-25bps52%
- Hike more than 25bps3%
- Cut more than 25bps1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 4,3K
- 24u volume
- € 4,3K
- South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- US active housing listings in September
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026?
- Bank of Canada Decision in December?
- Swiss National Bank decision in September?
- Chicago Fed National Activity Index for August
- Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
- South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor ECB Interest Rates: December 2026?
- Polymarket prijst 25 bps increase op 58% per 19 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 afgewikkeld?
- ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 wordt naar verwachting op 17 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- Waar wordt ECB Interest Rates: December 2026 nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Limitless.