PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
December 31 27%-5.5ptKoploper van 3 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
56 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 810
Liquiditeit
€ 9,6K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
4.0 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
-4.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
26 jul 26, 22:32 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0%
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PolymarketRegels
NATO's Article 4 allows any member to call for consultations with allies if it believes its territorial integrity, political independence, or security to be threatened.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO member invokes Article 4 of the North Atlantic Treaty between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Article 4 is considered invoked as soon as a member formally requests consultations with NATO allies under Article 4, regardless of whether the request is later revoked.
- For example, Poland's request for consultations on September 10, 2025, or Estonia's request on September 24, 2025 would each qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- If a member state only expresses intent to or is considering invoking Article 4, that alone does not suffice for a "Yes" resolution.