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Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 20:15 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 91.1%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Verouderd1 jan 26, 22:58 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Will the North Atlantic Counsel (NAC) decide before the end of 2026 that an attack on one of the NATO partners fulfilled the criteria to initiate Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty? This would mean that all NATO partners will have the obligation to collectively defend the attacked NATO partner.
- Market will resolve yes if the NAC publicly states that the NATO will instigate article 5, regardless of actual action undertaken by NATO partners.
- Market will resolve no if no statement has been made before the end of 2026