PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
John Brennan 22%+1.0ptKoploper van 24 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
70 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 516,9
Liquiditeit
€ 302,9K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
2.0 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
13
7d wijziging
-3.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 minuten geleden
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
PolymarketKanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?
PolymarketWill Netanyahu be arrested?
KalshiDario Amodei arrested by December 31?
PolymarketWill Tucker Carlson be arrested in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?
Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — Who will be arrested in 2026? · John Brennan 22%
Open markten
US PoliticsPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt98%
- $25M+0.8pt95%
- $50M+10.0pt95%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 855,7K
- 24u volume
- € 683,4K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,6 mln.
- 24u volume
KALSHIRhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Helena Foulkes-0.4pt97.1%
- Dan McKee+2.3pt2.9%
- Gregory Stevens0%
- Totaal volume
- € 620,1K
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt84%
- Republican Party16%
- Totaal volume
- € 24,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 215,2K
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+2.8pt57.6%
- Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt28.3%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Who will be arrested before 2027??
- Polymarket prijst John Brennan op 22% per 9 september 2026.
- Hoe wordt Who will be arrested before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Waar wordt Who will be arrested before 2027? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Kalshi.