KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kansBarack Obama 6%+0.3%Koploper van 24 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
91 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,4K
Liquiditeit
€ 315,3K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
6.0% / 6.1%
Spread
1.7%
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 minuten geleden
23 jul 25, 14:001 jan 27, 4:59
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Barack Obama6%
Platforms vergelijken· John Brennan
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDeze paginaBeste algemeen | Hoog | 36% | +8pt | € 1,4K | € 315,3K | 9 minuten geleden | |
 Polymarket76% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | Gemiddeld | 28% | 0pt | € 394,4 | € 194,4K | 9 minuten geleden | Openen → |
Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket
Who will be arrested before 2027?
0.3%
-0.5%28%
-6.0%26%
20%
+21 extra uitkomsten
64 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitBrede spreadHoge liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit
Totaal volume€ 196,2K
24u volume€ 394,4
POLYMARKETRegels
If Gavin Newsom is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied.
- To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.
- If Lee Jun-seok is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bill Clinton is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthony Fauci is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Volumetrend
$1.6k2 jul25d aan data26 jul
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If Gavin Newsom is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied.
- To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.
- If Lee Jun-seok is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bill Clinton is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthony Fauci is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.