Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?

baseOne-OffAI4j

Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerd

Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens

Gegevens van 16 jul 2026, 17:10 UTC · beleid pm-quality-2

Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling

OpenAI 25.3%+0.6%

Koploper van 7 uitkomsten

Voorspellers

Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 9 dagen geleden

Verouderd

29 aug 24, 15:5831 dec 30, 18:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies

Gekozen uitkomst

OpenAI25%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

Resolves to the company which has created the AI model which triggered the resolution of the weak AGI question on Metaculus.

This market will be extended until the weak AGI is achieved.
If the model is a finetune, i will resolve to the creator of the base model.
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/3479/?theme=dark)

Volumetrend

$23

15 jul2d aan data16 jul

Gerelateerde Markten

Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?

€ 1,1K

China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which Model numbers will OpenAI release as a flagship before adding a letter (e.g. ‘o’ in 4o, o1)

€ 164,9

5.4: 100%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Is GPT-4.5 the base model for o3?

€ 87,9

Ja: 5.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

€ 5,4K

December 31, 2027: 66%

POLYMARKET

Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?

€ 3,2K

$500M: 64%

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of July?

€ 254,5K

Anthropic: 99%

POLYMARKET

Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$64,507.44+0.69%

EthereumETH$1,886.50+1.50%

SolanaSOL$74.94+1.38%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0733+5.51%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.97%

BNBBNB$570.44+0.87%

Gerelateerd Nieuws

Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter

Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt

Morpho Launches Fixed-Rate Lending Protocol Midnight on BaseThe Defiant

WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter

Morpho rolls out Midnight for fixed term lending on BaseCrypto News

Morpho launches fixed-rate lending protocol Midnight on Base to expand onchain credit marketsThe Block

Regels

Resolves to the company which has created the AI model which triggered the resolution of the weak AGI question on Metaculus.

This market will be extended until the weak AGI is achieved.
If the model is a finetune, i will resolve to the creator of the base model.
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/3479/?theme=dark)

Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?

baseOne-OffAI4j

Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerd

Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens

Gegevens van 16 jul 2026, 17:10 UTC · beleid pm-quality-2

Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling

OpenAI 25.3%+0.6%

Koploper van 7 uitkomsten

Voorspellers

Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 9 dagen geleden

Verouderd

29 aug 24, 15:5831 dec 30, 18:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies

Gekozen uitkomst

OpenAI25%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

Resolves to the company which has created the AI model which triggered the resolution of the weak AGI question on Metaculus.

This market will be extended until the weak AGI is achieved.
If the model is a finetune, i will resolve to the creator of the base model.
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/3479/?theme=dark)

Volumetrend

$23

15 jul2d aan data16 jul

Gerelateerde Markten

Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?

€ 1,1K

China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which Model numbers will OpenAI release as a flagship before adding a letter (e.g. ‘o’ in 4o, o1)

€ 164,9

5.4: 100%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Is GPT-4.5 the base model for o3?

€ 87,9

Ja: 5.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

€ 5,4K

December 31, 2027: 66%

POLYMARKET

Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?

€ 3,2K

$500M: 64%

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of July?

€ 254,5K

Anthropic: 99%

POLYMARKET

Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$64,507.44+0.69%

EthereumETH$1,886.50+1.50%

SolanaSOL$74.94+1.38%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0733+5.51%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.97%

BNBBNB$570.44+0.87%

Gerelateerd Nieuws

Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter

Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt

Morpho Launches Fixed-Rate Lending Protocol Midnight on BaseThe Defiant

WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter

Morpho rolls out Midnight for fixed term lending on BaseCrypto News

Morpho launches fixed-rate lending protocol Midnight on Base to expand onchain credit marketsThe Block

Regels

Resolves to the company which has created the AI model which triggered the resolution of the weak AGI question on Metaculus.

This market will be extended until the weak AGI is achieved.
If the model is a finetune, i will resolve to the creator of the base model.
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/3479/?theme=dark)