KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Before Jan 1, 2031 90%Koploper van 12 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
55 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,4K
Liquiditeit
€ 60,7K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
7.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
3 mrt 26, 15:00 UTC1 jan 31, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?
Manifold MarketsWhen will OpenAI achieve AGI?
KalshiA company from which continent will achieve AGI first?
Manifold MarketsWill AI achieve AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegels
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:The Washington PostABCCBSCNNFox BusinessMSNBCNBCthe Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR databaseThe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsReutersthe Associated PressFinancial TimesCNBCYahoo FinanceMarketWatchAxiosPoliticoThe Information
- To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify.
- For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.
Open markten
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 160-179+2.5pt25.5%
- 180-199+7.5pt25.5%
- 200-219+5.0pt17.9%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 446,1K
- 24u volume
- € 138,2K
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-2.0pt77%
- Apple+2.3pt16%
- Alphabet6%
+5 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhat will Kroger say during their next earnings call?
- Deflation+44.0pt99%
- SNAP / Food Stamp+46.0pt99%
- Instacart+61.0pt99%
+10 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA-1.1pt97%
- Apple+1.4pt3%
- Alphabet+0.1pt0%
+6 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes+1.0pt8%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 36,1K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 180-19918.3%
- 160-179+2.0pt16.4%
- 200-219-1.0pt15.4%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Monster Energy Point of Sale Growth in September
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will any company achieve AGI??
- Kalshi prijst Before Jan 1, 2031 op 90% per 11 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will any company achieve AGI? afgewikkeld?
- When will any company achieve AGI? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2031 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will any company achieve AGI? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.