When will any company achieve AGI?

6.0 ptn (24u)Business & Corporate AI TechOne-Off1j

KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerd

Huidige impliciete kans

Before Jan 1, 2031 83%

Koploper van 13 uitkomsten

Marktkwaliteit

64 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit

24u volume

€ 2,4K

Liquiditeit

€ 38,9K

Hoge liquiditeit

Bied / Laat

33.0% / 36.0%

Spread

3.0 pt

Gematigde spread

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 20 minuten geleden

3 mrt 26, 15:001 okt 27, 3:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies

Gekozen uitkomst

Before Oct 1, 202737%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify.
For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volumetrend

$2.8k

2 jul25d aan data28 jul

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Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

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What will Palantir say during their next earnings call?

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KALSHI

Perplexity valued at 50B+ USD before 2027?

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Ja: 30.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

€ 51,7

OpenAI: 18%

POLYMARKET

Combined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX

€ 44,4

Under $3T: 1.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify.
For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

When will any company achieve AGI?

6.0 ptn (24u)Business & Corporate AI TechOne-Off1j

KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerd

Huidige impliciete kans

Before Jan 1, 2031 83%

Koploper van 13 uitkomsten

Marktkwaliteit

64 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit

24u volume

€ 2,4K

Liquiditeit

€ 38,9K

Hoge liquiditeit

Bied / Laat

33.0% / 36.0%

Spread

3.0 pt

Gematigde spread

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 20 minuten geleden

3 mrt 26, 15:001 okt 27, 3:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies

Gekozen uitkomst

Before Oct 1, 202737%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify.
For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volumetrend

$2.8k

2 jul25d aan data28 jul

Gerelateerde Markten

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

€ 59,6K

↑$1.1T: 100%

POLYMARKET

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

€ 2,2K

↑$900B: 73%

POLYMARKET

What will Palantir say during their next earnings call?

€ 150,1

Nvidia: 27%

KALSHI

Perplexity valued at 50B+ USD before 2027?

€ 67,8

Ja: 30.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

€ 51,7

OpenAI: 18%

POLYMARKET

Combined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX

€ 44,4

Under $3T: 1.5%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$63,264.89-3.11%

EthereumETH$1,878.57-3.75%

SolanaSOL$73.10-4.21%

DogecoinDOGE$0.07-3.82%

BNBBNB$565.24-1.41%

XRPXRP$1.06-4.53%

Gerelateerd Nieuws

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Google Ships New Gemini Flash Models, But Pro Is Still MissingDecrypt

Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt

WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter

Over 95% of Coinbase’s code is now written with AICointelegraph

DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto News

Regels

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify.
For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.