KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Before 2030 72%+7.0ptKoploper van 3 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
72 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 6K
Liquiditeit
€ 305,2K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
2.9 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
25 aug 25, 17:00 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI achieve "very high level of confidence" in their "Superalignment" solutions by 2027-07-06?
Manifold MarketsWhen will any company achieve AGI?
KalshiWill AI achieve AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegels
If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:OpenAI
- If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markten
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 241,3K
- 24u volume
- € 128K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 349,4K
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Most popular AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will OpenAI achieve AGI??
- Kalshi prijst Before 2030 op 72% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will OpenAI achieve AGI? afgewikkeld?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will OpenAI achieve AGI? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.