Will the S&P 500 close above 7883.34 on December 31, 2026?
EconomiaDailyAzioniMacro ed economiaPolitica commercialeBusiness e aziende2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 52.2%
Previsori
51
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 50 minuti fa
In ritardo6 gen 26, 14:50 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
S&P 500 closes in previous years -
- December 31, 2023: 4769.83
- December 31, 2024: 5881.63 (2024 gain: 1111.80) December 31, 2025: 6845.50 (2025 gain: 963.87)
- The average gain in the last 2 years was 1037.835 points.
- This market resolves YES if the S&P 500 gains more points in 2026 than it did on average in 2024 and 2025 (closing above 7883.335, rounding up), and resolves NO if it does not (closing below that number).
- The S&P 500 ended 2025 up 16.4%, following a gain of 23.3% in 2024.
