Will US unemployment exceed 4.5% at any point in 2026?
One-OffEconomiaPolitica commercialeMacro ed economia2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 86.7%
Previsori
28
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo10 feb 26, 18:37 UTC1 gen 27, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will US unemployment exceed 5% in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.7% in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.2% in November 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExIf the US Unemployment Rate exceeds 2.2% in December 2026, will the United States economy enter a recession by the end of Q3 2027?
ForecastExRegole
Resolves YES if BLS reports US unemployment rate above 4.5% for any month in 2026.
- Current rate ~4.0%.
- Key risk factors: tariff-driven disruption, federal workforce reductions.
