Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualey ≥ 2.0% 100%In testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori
21
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo20 nov 25, 18:29 UTC1 feb 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will US unemployment exceed 4.5% at any point in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBrazil inflation rate in October
KalshiArgentina inflation rate MoM for October
KalshiWhen will Brazil have a higher MoM inflation rate than Argentina during 2026?
Manifold MarketsEuro area’s inflation rate in 2026
FutuurUS annual inflation rate (CPI) at the end of 2026?
FutuurRegole
Will the inflation rate, denoted y, reach or exceed the value listed in each option at any point during the 2026? I will use the unadjusted 12 month rate reported by BLS as the official source, which is typically released on a monthly basis for the proceeding month.
- If the option with the highest rate reaches or exceeds 40%, I will add a new option that is .50 percentage points higher to ensure sufficient granularity.
- Because of the timeline we are on, the inflation report for a given month might be published late or not at all.
- Please adjust your prices accordingly.
- Late publications will qualify as long as they are published by the market end date of 02-01-2027.
- If no reports are published during the entire period, the market will resolve to NA for each option.
