Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 16 lug 2026, 01:30 UTC · criterio pm-quality-2
Previsione della comunità attualeJanuary 0%In testa tra 12 esiti
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 giorni fa
Obsoleto1 nov 25, 17:3931 dic 26, 23:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
July17%
Trend del volume
$3515 lug2g di dati16 lug
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
When will South Africa collapse?
131,8 €Before 2026: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Fed Decision in July?
1,6 Mln €No change: 79%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed rate hike in 2026?
51,2K €Sì: 72%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
9,3K €Above 3.4%: 29%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed rate hike by which date?
7,4K €October Meeting: 69%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
CPI in July
4,9K €Above -0.1%: 86%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
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Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsPolymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Hormuz traffic 'Yes' sinks to 1.15% after Trump strike threatBlockchain.NewsRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to YES for any month in 2026 where Brazil's month-on-month (MoM) inflation rate exceeds Argentina's, based on official data from:
- Argentina: https://tradingeconomics.com/argentina/inflation-rate-mom
- Brazil: https://tradingeconomics.com/brazil/inflation-rate-mom
- The market will resolve to NO if Brazil's MoM inflation rate remains below Argentina's for all months in 2025.
- Resolution will occur as soon as official data becomes available confirming that Brazil's inflation rate has exceeded Argentina's for any month, or after all 2026 data has been published showing no such occurrence.