Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 79.3%
Previsori
32
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto21 giu 23, 18:58 UTC1 gen 35, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Conditional on CCP losing power, will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia surpass Japan in GDP per capita (PPP) by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Poland surpass the UK in GDP per capita by PPP prior to 2035?
Manifold MarketsChina unemployment rate in October
KalshiChina GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Source is IMF. 2023 values are 73.34k for Taiwan and 80.03 for USA.
- Resolves N/A if China invades Taiwan:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/O/will-china-invade-taiwan-by-2035) I think this is very likely based on the indicators of economic freedom and IQ, the rate of recent development, and the AI-induced boom in semiconductors.
