Previsione della comunità attuale
No 52%
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto9 mag 23, 17:22 UTC1 gen 52, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Taiwan surpass the USA in GDP (PPP) per capita before 2035 if it isn't invaded by China?
Manifold MarketsWill China's GDP per capita surpass Japan's by the end of 2035?
Manifold MarketsChina GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
PolymarketIn which decade will China's GDP surpass US GDP?
Manifold MarketsWill China's GDP surpass US GDP before 2035?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves NA if this market resolves Yes
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/JonathanRay/will-china-still-be-controlled-by-t) Otherwise it resolves the same as this market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/JonathanRay/will-chinas-gdpppp-per-capita-catch)
Mercati aperti
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 89,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 541,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 30,7K €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 334,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8K €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 10,7K €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Volume totale
- 612,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,9K €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Volume totale
- 2,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,3K €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Conditional on CCP losing power, will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 52% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Conditional on CCP losing power, will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050??
- Conditional on CCP losing power, will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2052.
- Come viene liquidato Conditional on CCP losing power, will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves NA if this market resolves Yes