Previsione della comunità attuale
No 67.3%
Previsori
18
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto11 feb 24, 12:44 UTC31 dic 35, 15:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Russia surpass Japan in GDP per capita (PPP) by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Poland surpass the UK in GDP per capita by PPP prior to 2035?
Manifold MarketsConditional on CCP losing power, will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050?
Manifold MarketsChina GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
PolymarketChina’s government budget balance in 2026
KalshiChina unemployment rate in August
KalshiRegole
Based on the World Bank data:
- https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD?locations=CN-JP&start=1960&view=chart
Mercati aperti
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 89,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 541,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 30,7K €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 334,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8K €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 10,7K €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Volume totale
- 612,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,9K €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Volume totale
- 2,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,3K €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will China's GDP per capita surpass Japan's by the end of 2035??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 67% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will China's GDP per capita surpass Japan's by the end of 2035??
- Will China's GDP per capita surpass Japan's by the end of 2035? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2035.
- Come viene liquidato Will China's GDP per capita surpass Japan's by the end of 2035??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Based on the World Bank data: