Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 90.8%
Previsori
18
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto13 gen 24, 04:00 UTC13 gen 28, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2028, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2026, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in any year before 2030, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsHow many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiRegole
Berkeley Earth releases a Global Temperature Report each January that includes the previous year's global annual average temperature according to their data.
- For 2023, Berkeley Earth reported global warming was 1.54 °C. This question resolves YES if Berkeley Earth reports that annual average warming is equal to or higher than 1.50 degrees Celsius in 2027.
- For easy reference, here are Berkeley Earth's past numbers going back to 2010:
- [image]Same question but for: