Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth??

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 90.8% al 27 ottobre 2026.

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Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?

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Sì 90.8%

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Aggiornato 5 ore fa

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13 gen 24, 04:00 UTC13 gen 28, 07:59 UTC

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Berkeley Earth releases a Global Temperature Report each January that includes the previous year's global annual average temperature according to their data.

For 2023, Berkeley Earth reported global warming was 1.54 °C. This question resolves YES if Berkeley Earth reports that annual average warming is equal to or higher than 1.50 degrees Celsius in 2027.
For easy reference, here are Berkeley Earth's past numbers going back to 2010:
[image]Same question but for:

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Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?

Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?

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