KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before 2027 64%-8.0ptIn testa tra 6 esiti
Qualità del mercato
52 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
585,7 €
Liquidità
801 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
12 set 26, 22:00 UTC1 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI Claims to Solve another Millennium Prize Problem before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
PolymarketSecond-best AI Lab end of September?
PolymarketRegole
If any AI lab solves another Millennium Prize Problem after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The GuardianNational Academy of Sciences of the United StatesFinancial TimesAssociated Pressthe Clay Mathematics InstituteNaturearXiv preprint repository operated by Cornell UniversityRoyal Societythe American Mathematical Societythe International Mathematical UnionThe Washington Postthe New York TimesMax Planck SocietyAmerican Association for the Advancement of ScienceBritish Broadcasting CorporationQuanta MagazineThe Wall Street JournalFrench Academy of SciencesBloomberg NewsReutersProceedings of the National Academy of SciencesThe Economist
- A Millennium Prize Problem counts as solved on the first date that, by Expiration, remains unretracted and either:
- A complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the problem as originally formulated by the Clay Mathematics Institute is published in a reputable peer-reviewed mathematics or scientific journal.
- CMI or another recognized academic governing or recognition body officially states that the problem has been resolved by reference to a specific written work.
- At least two Source Agencies themselves report that the problem has been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work.
- A preprint, announcement, blog post, conference presentation, technical report, or machine-checked formalization does NOT by itself constitute a solution, but may be the written work relied upon for official recognition or qualifying Source Agency reporting.
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
- Above 72.5%96%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 63,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 63,6K €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-2.8pt68.6%
- ChatGPT-0.4pt15.7%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,5 Mln €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,85%
- December 31,-3.5pt84%
- November 30,-2.0pt76%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
- 1510+45.5pt100%
- 1520-9.9pt81%
- 1530-0.1pt4%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude89.9%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT1.8%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 27,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 27,4K €
- Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem??
- Kalshi quota Before 2027 al 64% al 15 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem??
- When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If any AI lab solves another Millennium Prize Problem after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.