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Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto13 gen 24, 03:58 UTC13 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
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Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2026, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiRegole
Berkeley Earth releases a Global Temperature Report each January that includes the previous year's global annual average temperature according to their data.
- For 2023, Berkeley Earth reported global warming was 1.54 °C. This question resolves YES if Berkeley Earth reports that annual average warming is equal to or higher than 1.50 degrees Celsius in 2026.
- For easy reference, here are Berkeley Earth's past numbers going back to 2010:
- [image]Same question but for: