Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?
WeatherOne-OffScienzaMacro & Economy4mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 95.7%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto21 feb 25, 16:23 UTC15 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2026, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsUS grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
KalshiWill global carbon dioxide emissions exceed 40,000 million metric tons in 2027?
ForecastExWill nuclear energy generate more than 1,880 thousand megawatt-hours of electricity in California during December 2026?
ForecastExRegole
Berkeley Earth releases a Global Temperature Report each January that includes the previous year's global annual average temperature according to their data.
- For 2023, Berkeley Earth reported global warming was 1.54 °C. This question resolves YES if Berkeley Earth reports that annual average warming is equal to or higher than 2.00 degrees Celsius in 2027.
- For easy reference, here are Berkeley Earth's past numbers going back to 2010:
- [image]See also, same question but for:
- 2027 (this question)
Mercati aperti
Weather
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- 32°C+90.5pt100%
- 25°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 26°C0%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 141,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 129,1K €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+77.4pt100%
- 17°C or below-1.1pt0%
- 18°C-4.0pt0%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+68.5pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.3pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above87.6%
- 91° to 92°7.6%
- 89° to 90°1.9%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 72,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 71,8K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Miami+44.0pt99%
- Chicago+13.0pt99%
- Houston64%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 71,6K €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- 28°C+47.0pt100%
- 24°C or below0%
- 25°C-0.1pt0%
+8 altri esiti
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
- Highest temperature in London on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 96% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth??
- Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth? dovrebbe risolversi il 15 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Berkeley Earth releases a Global Temperature Report each January that includes the previous year's global annual average temperature according to their data.