Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì 34%+1.1%
Qualita del mercato
73 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
10,7K €
Liquidità
90,4K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
31.5% / 34.4%
Spread
9.2%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 25 minuti fa
9 nov 25, 15:001 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes34%
Grandi operazioni
$1.2k71.5%
KALSHINo22 h fa
KALSHINo22 h faTrend del volume
$12.2k2 lug25g di dati26 lug
Mercati Correlati
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
1,6K €Sì: 31%KALSHI
KALSHI
Natural Disaster in 2026?
699 €Sì: 22%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
465 €2: 55%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
745,4 €5-6: 67%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
165,9 €Oil: 62%KALSHI
KALSHI
Major volcano eruption in 2026?
9,2 €At least 1: 25%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
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If the unsmoothed Land-Ocean Temperature Index value for 2026 reported by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is above the 2025 value and 1.28 degrees Celsius, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for 2026, or 10:00 AM ET April 01, 2027