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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Scienza
  3. Natural Disaster in 2026?
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

0.5% (24h)One-OffScienzaWeather6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 25%+0.0%
Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

37,4 €

Liquidità

1,6K €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

24.0% / 25.0%

Spread

4.2%

Spread moderato
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 7 minuti fa

31 dic 25, 19:1731 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes25%

Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:

Polymarket
  • - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
  • The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf

Mercati Correlati

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

3,6K €
2: 63%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Highest monthly CO2 level at Mauna Loa in first half of 2026

848,8 €
432 or less: 0.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
When will El Niño conditions be declared present?

When will El Niño conditions be declared present?

1,2 €
Before Jul 1, 2026: 70%KalshiKALSHI
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?

How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?

0,3 €
At least 440: 89%KalshiKALSHI
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?

Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?

0,1 €
Sì: 77%KalshiKALSHI
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

0 €
Sì: 8%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,837.73+2.22%EthereumETH$1,657.40+1.61%SolanaSOL$65.25+1.53%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.37%XRPXRP$1.12+0.52%BNBBNB$596.39+1.77%

Notizie Correlate

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Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:

Polymarket
  • - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
  • The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf