Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will we discover alien life before 2030??

Manifold Markets quota No al 92% al 25 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will we discover alien life before 2030??

Will we discover alien life before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 marzo 2030.

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Will we discover alien life before 2030?

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Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati

Dati al 25 ott 2026, 14:28 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 92%

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Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 15 ore fa

Obsoleto

9 gen 24, 23:56 UTC1 mar 30, 22:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

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Regole

Resolves as YES if we discover strong evidence of past or present extra-terrestrial life before January 1st 2030.

This question includes but is not limited to the detection of biosignatures/technosignatures in our solar system, around other stars or distant galaxies.
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@/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-031ec0858fcc
@/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-cbfe304a2ed7
@/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-54f04dd10acb

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Will we discover alien life before 2030?

Will we discover alien life before 2030?

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Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

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Anthropic lab leak by which date?

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

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Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?