Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 87.2%
Previsori
58
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
26 gen 24, 10:57 UTC1 mar 34, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
Resolves as YES if we discover strong evidence of past or present extra-terrestrial life before January 1st 2034.
- This question includes but is not limited to the detection of biosignatures/technosignatures in our solar system, around other stars or distant galaxies.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-031ec0858fcc
- @/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-cbfe304a2ed7
- @/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-54f04dd10acb
Mercati aperti
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume totale
- 15,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 18,3K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2K €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume totale
- 916K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5K €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-2.0pt57%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 863,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 1K €
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
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- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will we discover alien life before 2034??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 87% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will we discover alien life before 2034??
- Will we discover alien life before 2034? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 marzo 2034.
- Come viene liquidato Will we discover alien life before 2034??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves as YES if we discover strong evidence of past or present extra-terrestrial life before January 1st 2034.