PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
June 30, 2027 12%
Qualità del mercato
73 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
15K €
Liquidità
28,9K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
3.5% / 4.0%
Spread
0.5 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
19 set 26, 00:27 UTC1 lug 27, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial?
Manifold MarketsIs African swine fever in Spain a lab leak?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Covid lab leak market resolve?
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KalshiPandemic in 2026?
KalshiWas the 2021 Ebola outbreak caused by a lab leak?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required.
- Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-8.5pt77%
- December 15,-22.5pt60%
- November 30,-27.0pt51%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 3,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 199,2K €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+3.0pt90%
- Before Mar 1, 202786%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt86%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,9 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT+1.5pt14.4%
- Gemini+1.9pt9.6%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10 Mln €
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 23.6%+8.0pt99%
- Above 21.7%99%
- Above 22.7%99%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 153,1K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 4.5%+9.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 5.6%+45.0pt91%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 171K €
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.55%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.05%99%
- Above 2.25%99%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 199,4K €
- Volume 24h
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Top Text to Speech AI this week
- Top Text to Image AI this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Next Claude Opus released on?
- OpenRouter AI token usage: Sep 14–20
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Anthropic lab leak by which date??
- Polymarket quota June 30, 2027 al 12% al 19 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Anthropic lab leak by which date??
- Anthropic lab leak by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 luglio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Anthropic lab leak by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.