Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Conditional on resolving YES, will it resolve by the end of 2040? 39%In testa tra 8 esiti
Previsori
39
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto25 dic 23, 14:25 UTC2 gen 40, 04:59 UTC
Trend
0.5%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
By when will the Covid lab leak market resolve?
Manifold MarketsWill the COVID lab leak theory be proven by 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf Covid is a lab leak, which lab did it leak from?
Manifold MarketsNew COVID variant of concern before 2027?
PolymarketWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiWhen will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
KalshiRegole
https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory
- This market is to determine what bias, if any, exists in that market, and when it's likely to resolve.
Mercati aperti
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.3pt97%
- Yes+0.3pt3%
- Volume totale
- 15,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 35,6K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2K €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume totale
- 83,5K €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 864,2K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume totale
- 915,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5K €
KALSHIWhen will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Before July 2027+67.0pt97%
- Before 202872%
- Before October 202752%
- Volume totale
- 4,2K €
- Volume 24h
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will the Covid lab leak market resolve??
- Manifold Markets quota Conditional on resolving YES, will it resolve by the end of 2040? al 39% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will the Covid lab leak market resolve??
- When will the Covid lab leak market resolve? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2040.
- Come viene liquidato When will the Covid lab leak market resolve??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory