Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Conditional on resolving YES, will it resolve by the end of 2040? 39%In testa tra 8 esiti
Conditional on resolving YES, will it resolve by the end of 2040? 39%Previsori
39
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto25 dic 23, 14:25 UTC2 gen 40, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
By when will the Covid lab leak market resolve?
Manifold MarketsTRUE or FALSE: "The US government has ruled that COVID-19 most likely came from a Lab Leak"
Manifold MarketsWill my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial?
Manifold MarketsWill the COVID lab leak theory be proven by 2027?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic lab leak by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic lab leak by which date?
LimitlessRegole
https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory
- This market is to determine what bias, if any, exists in that market, and when it's likely to resolve.
