Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
By end of 2050 36.4%In testa tra 6 esiti
By end of 2050 36.4%Previsori
18
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo21 gen 24, 03:30 UTC2 gen 00, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Covid lab leak market resolve?
Manifold MarketsWill LLMs estimate a probability over 40% that the origin of COVID was a lab leak in 2034?
Manifold MarketsIf the COVID lab leak market resolves NO, will it be controversial?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic lab leak by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic lab leak by which date?
LimitlessRegole
Each option resolves YES if https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory resolves to either YES or NO by that date.
- Otherwise it resolves NO (if it didn't resolve before that date, or if it resolved to any value other than YES or NO).
- (In case the resolution status changes, then this question resolves based on the final resolution date)
