Quali sono le probabilità attuali per By when will the Covid lab leak market resolve??

Manifold Markets quota By end of 2050 al 36.4% al 30 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve By when will the Covid lab leak market resolve??

By when will the Covid lab leak market resolve? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2100.

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

By end of 2050 36.4%

In testa tra 6 esiti

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Variazione 7g

0.0 pts

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 5 ore fa

Obsoleto

21 gen 24, 03:30 UTC2 gen 00, 04:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

Each option resolves YES if https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory resolves to either YES or NO by that date.

Otherwise it resolves NO (if it didn't resolve before that date, or if it resolved to any value other than YES or NO).
(In case the resolution status changes, then this question resolves based on the final resolution date)