PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 87%
No 87%Qualità del mercato
66 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
3,4K €
Liquidità
1,8K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
12.0% / 14.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
6 ott 26, 08:21 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by which date?
PolymarketWill a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
KalshiPlague pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketConfirmed Irkutsk plague cases in Oct 2026?
KalshiPlague declared public health emergency by which date?
PolymarketWill the Irkutsk Anti-Plague institute incident turn into an outbreak?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a human case of pneumonic plague outside the Russian Federation is confirmed and established as epidemiologically linked to the outbreak associated with the Irkutsk Anti-Plague Research Institute by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A "confirmed case" is a case explicitly identified by a qualifying source as laboratory-confirmed Yersinia pestis infection with pneumonic (pulmonary) involvement, or explicitly announced as a confirmed pneumonic plague case.
- A bubonic or septicemic case that progresses to pneumonic plague qualifies.
- An epidemiological link means a qualifying source states that the case acquired its infection from a person, animal, sample or material connected to the Irkutsk outbreak, or that the case travelled from Irkutsk Oblast within the incubation period and is being investigated as part of that outbreak.
- Resolution is based on the date a qualifying source publishes the confirmation and the link, not the date of exposure, symptom onset or laboratory result.