PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
December 31 18%-1.5pt
Qualità del mercato
58 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,1K €
Liquidità
7,3K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
16.0% / 19.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+1.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
25 ago 26, 00:08 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by which date?
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Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in October 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.475882° N, 37.082566° E in Dobropillia, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
Mercati aperti
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.3%
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+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
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- United Russia (ER)+0.7pt100%
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+5 altri esiti
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- June 30, 202714%
- December7%
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+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 19,9 Mln €
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- Yes+5.5pt25%
- Volume totale
- 345,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3K €
POLYMARKETBank of Russia decision in September?
- No Change+1.5pt69.3%
- Decrease27.7%
- Increase-0.1pt3%
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Volume totale
- 516,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 43K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Russia capture Dobropillia by which date??
- Polymarket quota December 31 al 18% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Russia capture Dobropillia by which date??
- Will Russia capture Dobropillia by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Russia capture Dobropillia by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.475882° N, 37.082566° E in Dobropillia, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.