PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 1 set 2026, 21:00 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
October 31 45%+4.0pt
Qualità del mercato
39 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
18,2K €
Liquidità
21,7K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Commenti
0
Variazione 7g
-8.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo24 lug 26, 19:121 nov 26, 3:59
Trend
0%
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.450545° N, 37.181493° E in Novyi Donbas, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.