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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

0.5% (24h)One-OffRussia / Ukraine6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
December 31
December 31 38%+0.5%
Qualita del mercato

91 / 100

Alta qualità
Volume 24h

1,3K €

Liquidità

60,7K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

37.0% / 38.0%

Spread

2.7%

Spread stretto
Variazione 7g

+2.0%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 4 minuti fa

19 feb 26, 20:4531 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

December 3138%

Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kostyantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.528896° N, 37.702514° E) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Kostyantynivka will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by the resolution date, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
  • Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.

Mercati Correlati

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Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

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December 31: 16%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

48,8K €
December 31,: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

46K €
Sì: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

When will Russia capture Kostyantynivka?

675,6 €
Before February: 0%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Ukraine lose more territory in 2026 than it did in 2025?

446,9 €
Sì: 14.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?

129,9 €
Sì: 19%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,833.95+2.23%EthereumETH$1,660.56+1.83%SolanaSOL$65.25+1.80%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.57%XRPXRP$1.12+0.45%BNBBNB$596.42+1.82%

Notizie Correlate

Russia election odds hold with United Russia leading at ~54.5%Blockchain.NewsUkraine NATO Bid Doubt Surges: Polymarket Bets Narrow to NoBlockchain.NewsRussia Sanctions British Teen Over Crypto Sanctions ReportBlockchain.NewsRussia targets British 17-year-old for alleging digital assets were skirting sanctionsCointelegraphRussia targets 17-year-old Browder over A7A5 crypto findingsCrypto NewsRussia sanctions British teenager for alleging A7A5 use in funding Ukraine warCoindesk

Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kostyantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.528896° N, 37.702514° E) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Kostyantynivka will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by the resolution date, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
  • Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.