KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Dec 11, 2026 95%In testa tra 5 esiti
Before Dec 11, 2026 95%Qualità del mercato
58 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
2,1K €
Open interest
24,1K €
Open interest altoSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
29 set 26, 15:30 UTC30 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 1h (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Nov 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:SpaceX
- For the purpose of this market, the launch date is the calendar date on which liftoff occurred, measured in the local timezone of the launch site, as publicly confirmed by SpaceX
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Dec 11, 2026
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Dec 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 27, 2026
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Nov 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 13, 2026
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 30, 2026
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 16, 2026
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
2 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento ponderata per la liquidità di CoinRithm per Before Dec 11, 2026 è del 95%. Lo scarto tra piattaforme è di circa 1 punto percentuale.
Riferimento CoinRithm Before Dec 11, 2026 95% · 2 piattaforme · 1 pt di scarto tra venue
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — SpaceX Starship 15th launch? · Before Dec 11, 2026 94%